Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in Brazilan application of the fiscal theory of the price level

Resumo

The aim of the present paper is to verify the predominance of a monetary or fiscal dominance regime in Brazil in the post-Real period. The analysis is based on a model proposed by Canzoneri, Cumby and Diba (2000). This model proposes that there is a relationship between the public debt/GDP and primary surplus/GDP series by using the vector autoregression (VAR) framework and analyzing the impulse response functions. Another aim is the extension of the article written by Muscatelli et al. (2002) about the interactions between monetary and fiscal policies using the Markov-switching vector autoregressive model (MS-VAR) introduced by Krolzig (1997), since the relationship between these policies may not be constant over time. In conclusion, the macroeconomic coordination between monetary and fiscal policies in Brazil was virtually a substitute policy throughout the study period, with a predominantly monetary regime, in opposition to the non-Ricardian policies of the Fiscal Theory of The Price Level.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2005

Instituição

Universidade de São Paulo. Faculdade de Economia, Administração, Contabilidade e Atuária

Fonte

Estudos Econômicos

Idioma

Inglês

Acesso

Não informado

DOI

10.1590/S0101-41612005000400003

Identificador

oai:revistas.usp.br:article/35856

Licença

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0

Temas

Finanças Públicas

Palavras-chave

fiscal theory of the price levelVARMS-VARmonetary policyfiscal policyteoria fiscal do nível de preçospolítica monetáriapolítica fiscal