What determines foreign policy in Latin America? Systemic versus domestic factors in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico, 1946-2008

Resumo

Is it domestic politics or the international system that more decisively influences foreign policy? This article focuses on Latin America's three largest powers to identify patterns and compare outcomes in their relations with the regional hegemon, the United States. Through a statistical analysis of voting behavior in the UN General Assembly, we examine systemic variables (both realist and liberal) and domestic variables (institutional, ideological, and bureaucratic) to determine their relative weights between 1946 and 2008. The study includes 4,900 votes, the tabulation of 1,500 ministers according to their ideological persuasion, all annual trade entries, and an assessment of the political strength of presidents, cabinets, and parties per year. The findings show that while Argentina's voting behavior has been determined mostly by domestic factors and Mexico's by realist systemic ones, Brazil's has a more complex blend of determinants, but also with a prevalence of realist systemic variables.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2015

Instituição

Wiley-Blackwell

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Inglês

Acesso

Acesso aberto

DOI

10.1111/j.1548-2456.2015.00286.x

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/23519

Temas

Desenvolvimento Regional

Palavras-chave

PoliticsPresidentialismRealistPowerAmérica LatinaMatemáticaAmérica Latina - Relações econômicas exteriores - Estados UnidosEstados Unidos - Relações econômicas exteriores - América Latina