Visual analysis of forecasts of football match scores

Resumo

The present work describes the application of information visualization techniques to better understand the behaviour of a forecasting model designed to predict football match scores based on past confrontations. We have run the forecasts during the 2019 season of Brazilian National Championship and, once it was over, we gathered data to observe the performance of the forecasts, based on a set of evaluators we propose. The main contribution of this paper is the introduction of visual devices, each attached to one of these evaluators, designed to enhance interpretation of the performance of forecasting models in general and sports forecasts in particular. We also present other visualizations that help taking notice of particular features of the championship and the forecasts.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2020

Instituição

Fundação Getulio Vargas

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/32792

Palavras-chave

FutebolCiências sociaisFutebol - Previsão