Crescimento econômico e desenvolvimento humanomunicípios paulistas ao final do século XX

Resumo

This study aims at identifying and examining the various aspects that promote and hinder social development in a group of municipalities of the Brazilian State of São Paulo over the last decade. This is a particularly important theme to be reckoned, since the above mentioned towns and cities reached the highest standards of social development in spite of relatively low growth rates of per capita income (when compared to the total of 645 municipalities) through the ‘90’s. The municipalities here evaluated were chosen based on human development indicators, which implies that our main focus of attention lies on the causal chains between human development (HD) and economic growth (EG), from a perspective that admits multiple and simultaneous determinations for – and between – these two phenomena. The research is theoretically supported by Ranis, Stewart and Ramirez’s published works, which focus on the connections between EG and HD, considering that such interactions occur in two ways, or two chains: one from EG to HD; one from HD to EG. Data analyses taken from several countries reinforce the authors’ theoretical proposal by showing that public expenditures in health and education, especially in women’s education, are particularly relevant elements to the EG-HD chain. This paper attempts to verify if the methodology by the above-mentioned authors can be suitably adjusted to the local level. This empirical effort makes use of 1991 and 2000 Census, among other sources of data, including information collected and organized by the Seade Foundation, a State of São Paulo research agency. Several regressions were run taking the infant mortality rate reduction as the dependent variable and considering the municipal public expenditure indicators as variables of interest. Lagged infant mortality rate, an indicator of wealth, the Gini index, and women’s education where employed as variables of control. Estimated regressors and their respective levels of significance were not definitely conclusive about the impact of social expenditures. We believe that the variables and sample selection process must be refined. Despite that, evidences were found towards the existence of diminishing social returns of social public expenditures as the lagged infant mortality rate decreases. Also, aligned with Ranis, Stewart and Ramirez’s findings, women’s education was systematically proved itself as one of the more significant determinants for the infant mortality rates reduction.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Dissertação

Ano

2004

Instituição

Fundação Getulio Vargas

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/2446

Temas

EconomiaPolíticas PúblicasDesenvolvimento EconômicoAdministração PúblicaDadosEducaçãoSaúdeGestão Municipal

Palavras-chave

Políticas públicasSaúdeDesenvolvimento humanoIndicadores sociaisEducaçãoAdministração públicaDesenvolvimento econômicoRenda - Distribuição - São Paulo (Estado)Desenvolvimento socialSão Paulo (Estado) - Condições econômicasSão Paulo (Estado) - Condições sociaisSão Paulo (Estado) - Política social