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Estudo

Constructing coincident and leading indices of economic activity for the brazilian economy

Issler, João Victor; Notini, Hilton Hostalácio; Rodrigues, Claudia Oliveira da Fontoura

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Resumo

This paper has three original contributions. The first is the reconstruction effort of the series of employment and income to allow the creation of a new coincident index for the Brazilian economic activity. The second is the construction of a coincident index of the economic activity for Brazil, and from it, (re)establish a chronology of recessions in the recent past of the Brazilian economy. The coincident index follows the methodology proposed by TCB and it covers the period 1980:1 to 2007:11. The third is the construction and evaluation of many leading indicators of economic activity for Brazil which fills an important gap in the Brazilian Business Cycles literature.

Ficha do documento

Tipo
Estudo
Ano
2009
Instituição
Fundação Getulio Vargas. Escola de Pós-graduação em Economia
Idioma
Inglês
Acesso
Não informado
Identificador
oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/2680

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