Aderência dos orçamentos dos estados brasileiros à luz da teoria do equilíbrio pontuado

Resumo

This article aims to analyze the behavior of the budget of the Brazilian states. The purpose of theanalysis was to verify the adherence of the budgets of the state governments in the light of theTheory of Punctuated Equilibrium. The analysis was based on the budgets data of the states andDistrito Federal covering the years 2002 to 2018. Four expenditure functions were also selectedfor analysis, in addition to the general budget. Normality of the data was tested to demonstrateincrementalism and kurtosis to verify budget punctuations. It was observed that in the case of theGeneral Budget, twenty-five states presented themselves with an incremental model. Regardingexpenses by function, it was found that only the states of Espírito Santo and Rio de Janeiroshowed evidence of the presence of the Punctuated Equilibrium for the Health and Public Safetyfunctions, respectively. Finally, it was concluded that the Punctuated Equilibrium Theory doesnot apply, in general, to the budgets of the states of Brazil, with some exceptions. Therefore, theresearch hypothesis has not been confirmed. the research that the budget follows a regular trend,occasionally altered by large variations, has not been confirmed.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2020

Instituição

Escola Nacional de Administração Pública - Enap

Fonte

Revista do Serviço Público

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

DOI

10.21874/rsp.v71i4.4572

Identificador

oai:ojs.pkp.sfu.ca:article/4572

Licença

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0

Temas

Finanças Públicas

Palavras-chave

Punctuated Equilibrium TheoryIncrementalismPublic budgetTeoria do Equilíbrio PontuadoIncrementalismoOrçamento Público