Uma Avaliação de impacto de política de segurança públicao Programa Estado Presente do Espírito Santo

Resumo

There was a decrease of 10.2% in the number of homicides in the State of Espírito Santo, between 2010 and 2014. During this period, substantial investments were allocated in a policy focused to reduce homicide, based on the organization of prison system and on the “Estado Presente em Defesa da Vida” program. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the public policy pursued in the state affected its violent lethality rate. This work used the synthetic control methodology proposed by Abadie, Diamond and Hainmueller (2010). The results indicate that the number of homicides would have increased by 29% in the period if the policy had not been adopted. Comparing the financial costs corresponding to the implementation of the policy, with the statistical value of lives saved, estimated by Cerqueira (2014), we conclude that each real invested generated a social welfare gain equivalent to R$ 2.4.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Estudo

Ano

2020

Instituição

Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (Ipea)

Fonte

Repositório do Ipea

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Acesso aberto

Identificador

oai:repositorio.ipea.gov.br:11058/9704

Licença

Licença Comum

Abrangência

Espírito Santo, Brasil; 2010-2014

Temas

Políticas Públicas

Palavras-chave

Segurança PúblicaHomicídioControle sintéticoTaxa de homicídiosPolítica de segurança pública.