Spatial Dynamics of Age Structure, the Demographic Window, and Formal Employment in the Northern Semi-arid Region

Resumo

This article maps the spatial autocorrelation of age structure across municipalities in the Northern Semi-arid Region (SemSet) and compares the evolution and utilization of the demographic window in two intraregional configurations: a younger SemSet and an aging SemSet. To this end, the study employs the Local Indicators of Spatial Association and the Formal Employment Index (FEI), based on data from the Censuses (2000–2022) and the Annual Social Information Report (2000–2021). The identified patterns confirm that the dynamics of age structure vary by location and therefore must be examined across different spatial scales. The demographic window in the aging SemSet opened in 2005, whereas in the younger SemSet it opened in 2009. In the aging SemSet, in 2021, the FEI reached 11.80%, whereas in the younger SemSet it reached 12.39%, indicating that approximately twelve out of every 100 individuals of working age were formally employed. Despite this progress, the results indicate limited utilization of the demographic window and reveal underlying economic fragility.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2026

Instituição

ANPUR

Fonte

Revista Brasileira de Estudos Urbanos e Regionais

Idioma

Inglês

Acesso

Não informado

DOI

10.22296/2317-1529.rbeur.202601en

Identificador

oai:ojs.rbeur.anpur.org.br:article/8357

Licença

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0

Temas

Desenvolvimento RegionalDados

Palavras-chave

Métodos técnicas e instrumentos de planejamentoDiferenciação socioespaciaPlanejamento regionalDesenvolvimento regionalTransição DemográficaJanela demográficaSemiárido SetentrionalMethods, Techniques, and Planning InstrumentsSocio-spatial DifferentiationRegional PlanningRegional DevelopmentDemographic TransitionDemographic WindowNorthern Semi-arid Region