Efeito econômico espacial da indústria sucroalcooleira na região da Grande Dourados

Resumo

At the beginning of the years 2000th, several sugar cane mills have been installed in the State of Mato Grosso do Sul in Brazil, mostly in the region of Dourados city, in the south of the State. In most cases these mills have been installed in small cities, where the investments have played big role to impact local economy and dynamic. In the other hand, not only the city where investments have been driven to felt these impacts, but also all the other cities where they have been connected directly or indirectly within this rapid growing sugar cane industry. This study have tried to understand the spatial relation within the cities and the evolution of their economic performance indicator related to the sugar cane production income. Therefore, two spatial econometrics models have been written off following the Spatial Durbin Model (SDM) methodology. It was used two different neighbourhood concept, one has taken into account geographical and political borders whereas the other has taken into account the city’s hierarchy among them suggested by Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics). It was also part of this study do understand the meaning of the main and more important city in the whole region, Dourados, once the city’s data is added or withdrew in the regression analysis. It was verified that the neighbourhood concept given by cities’ hierarchy captures the relationship between regional economic activities and sugar cane production within the city, whereas the concept given by geography and political border have failed to find it. Not only that, but it was also verified that the inner county sugar cane production has not much to do with its own economy. It was also possible to verify that the main city in the region is essential to capture correlation between sugar cane production income and regional economic indicators in the cities. It was observed that each city influences and is influenced by the others following an hierarchy network where they play a well determined role and significance, and physical distance between spatial unities little or close to nothing have to do in the regional context to capture this correlation. For that reason, the results suggest that the investments from sugarcane industry in a county creates economic spillover beyond its border where it has been installed, and therefore, public policies to develop and growth associated with agribusiness shall be thought and created in a regional scale rather than local. Lastly, it is recommended new studies to measure the real size of economic direct and indirect impacts generated by sugar cane production income, as well it is recommended new tests with one-year lag of the independent variable seeking possible changes in observed results.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Dissertação

Ano

2017

Instituição

Fundação Getulio Vargas

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/19302

Temas

EconomiaPolíticas PúblicasDesenvolvimento RegionalDesenvolvimento EconômicoDados

Palavras-chave

AgribusinessSpatial econometricsSpilloverRegional economyAgronegócioEconometria espacialEconomia regionalEconomiaÁlcool - Indústria - Dourados (MS)Agroindústria canavieiraEconomia agrícola - Dourado (MS)Econometria