Efeito da eleição do candidato da oposição sobre a apresentação e aprovação de projetos do prefeito na Câmara

Resumo

This study aims to analyze the effect of a challenger winning the municipal elections on the presentation and approval by the city council of projects proposed by the then elected mayor, on the subsequent year. This subject relates to the advantage citizens take when they choose the alternation of power option instead of the reelection one, as well as to the relation between the new chief of the executive and the city councilmen. A bound is then established with an electoral literature that excels at the analysis of factors leading to the reelection of a politician, but that may well be deepened on the examination of the future consequences of the alternation of power. In a similar way, a contribution is made by the provision of an econometrical toolset to the theoretical analyses of executive-legislative relations in the local level. The employed methodology is based on the application of the regression discontinuity design technique (or RDD) to data collected from the Brazilian Supreme Electoral Court and from a 2005’s legislative census. Following the data examination, and with moderate significance, it is argued that when the challenger is elected mayor he tends to propose less projects in the first year of his term (as opposed to the incumbent mayor), but these projects, on the other hand, get a proportionally more favorable reception by the city council.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Dissertação

Ano

2015

Instituição

Fundação Getulio Vargas

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/13437

Temas

Economia

Palavras-chave

Eleições municipaisRelação executivo-legislativoInferência causalRegressão descontínuaMunicipal elections in BrazilExecutive-legislative relationsCausal inferenceRegression discontinuity designsEconomiaEleições locais - BrasilPoder executivo - BrasilPoder legislativo - BrasilBrasil - Política e governoOposição (Ciência política)Prefeitos - Brasil - Eleições