Aspectos institucionais do risco país

Resumo

The measurement of country risk is of utmost importance at a time of frequent international portfolio diversification. This paper aims to understand which variables are important in these metrics, with a main focus among institutional aspects. To accomplish this purpose, it analyzes the Credit Default Swap (CDS) and the Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI), which not only measure the risk of countries, but also are also financial products, bought and sold by hedgers and speculators. Their prices are therefore formed by the market. The intent here is to analyze whether the institutional aspects of the countries, as well as their changes, are important in defining this risk, without forgetting, of course, the economic variables of each country. By institutional aspects, we understand the structure of the state, such as democracy and corruption in each country, press freedom, the socioeconomic status of the population, the fact that the country has a parliamentary regime, the influences the legal system, among other variables.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Dissertação

Ano

2016

Instituição

Fundação Getulio Vargas

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Não informado

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/15758

Temas

EconomiaGovernança

Palavras-chave

Panel dataInstitutional aspectsCountry riskCDSEMBIPainelAspectos institucionaisRisco-paísEconomiaRisco (Economia) - Aspectos políticosInvestimentos estrangeirosMercado financeiro