AIDS, longevity and long-run income

Resumo

This article studies the long-run impact of HIV/AIDS on per capita income and education. We focus on the disincentive to human capital accumulation given by shorter life span. We work with a continuous time overlapping generations model with education and saving decisions, calibrated for a cross-section of countries. The simulations predict that the most affected countries in Sub-Saharan Africa will be in future, on average, 20% poorer than they would be without AIDS. Schooling will decline in some cases such as Botswana, South Africa and Zambia by more than 40%. The impact of population decline was found to be irrelevant.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Artigo científico

Ano

2013

Instituição

Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd

Fonte

Repositório da FGV

Idioma

Inglês

Acesso

Acesso restrito

DOI

10.1080/00036846.2012.654915

Identificador

oai:repositorio.fgv.br:10438/23261

Temas

EconomiaSaúde

Palavras-chave

HIV/AIDSSchoolingLong-run outputAfricaEconomiaLongevidadeAIDS (Doença) - Programas de saúde