Acordo de livre-comércio Mercosul - União Européiauma estimativa dos impactos no comércio brasileiro

Resumo

In May 2004, the Mercosur and the European Union made their last offers in their negotiations for trade liberalization aiming to reach a Free Trade Agreement in the near future. In this paper the authors intend to evaluate the impacts of both offers on the Brazilian foreign trade. The estimated results indicate additional exports of US$ 903 million, 42% of which consisting of sales of just one product: ethanol. Nevertheless, the increase in ethanol exports depends on changes in demand provoked by the implementation of a new environmental policy in the European Union. The additional Brazilian imports were estimated in US$ 1,3 billion. The analysis shows that the on going negotiations on goods clearly involve two different agreements: one of an ambitious liberalization for industrialized products and another of a quite restricted liberalization for agricultural processed goods. The unbalanced results would probably worsen if the service sector had been included in the analysis.

Ficha do documento

Tipo

Estudo

Ano

2004

Instituição

Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada (Ipea)

Fonte

Repositório do Ipea

Idioma

Português

Acesso

Acesso aberto

Identificador

oai:repositorio.ipea.gov.br:11058/1897

Licença

Licença Comum

Abrangência

Brasil; Países da União Europeia; 2004

Palavras-chave

Acordo de livre comércioMercado Comum do Sul (Mercosul)União Europeia (UE)Comércio exterior